Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 8.300897 9.523757 10.883646 12.511383 14.411154 16.563559 19.194340
2025-02-16 6.477075 7.995072 9.824023 12.201783 15.228598 18.975686 24.001031
2025-02-23 5.457326 7.100029 9.197414 12.094605 16.028528 21.234975 28.731825
2025-03-02 4.739642 6.431811 8.695714 11.981198 16.685632 23.267397 33.328973
2025-03-09 4.171479 5.866057 8.224891 11.795926 17.149095 25.009758 37.676532
2025-03-16 3.693248 5.356822 7.753999 11.520424 17.400394 26.415670 41.649364
2025-03-23 3.499807 5.231038 7.811167 12.015443 18.847408 29.782173 49.161333
2025-03-30 3.252887 4.993038 7.665249 12.163765 19.742467 32.354238 55.701159
2025-04-06 2.993624 4.706314 7.408312 12.093420 20.250733 34.319873 61.437072
2025-04-13 2.755517 4.428376 7.134086 11.956036 20.613482 36.055023 66.974490
2025-04-20 2.640658 4.340003 7.159365 12.327321 21.904923 39.593736 76.454728
2025-04-27 2.519495 4.228352 7.131743 12.596422 23.031947 42.954567 86.086916
2025-05-04 2.439474 4.183072 7.219071 13.092268 24.663649 47.535581 99.091337
2025-05-11 2.242384 3.913575 6.882823 12.758596 24.639176 48.813385 105.184413
2025-05-18 2.096637 3.723938 6.673897 12.645362 25.038075 51.003673 113.674718
2025-05-25 1.964392 3.547751 6.473588 12.526207 25.405994 53.166790 122.454402
2025-06-01 1.835282 3.366751 6.248043 12.331640 25.587749 54.938521 130.579841
2025-06-08 1.706937 3.177047 5.989545 12.042350 25.527574 56.151410 137.505250
2025-06-15 1.678990 3.179920 6.109748 12.562166 27.330280 61.918811 157.289584
2025-06-22 1.613895 3.103780 6.064069 12.717939 28.316071 65.869503 172.937803
2025-06-29 1.530906 2.985125 5.921236 12.644059 28.751251 68.520745 185.453021
2025-07-06 1.447695 2.859859 5.754543 12.499777 28.999251 70.730339 197.112409
2025-07-13 1.418026 2.843650 5.817515 12.889722 30.611882 76.716430 221.288112